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Paradigm Shift Intervention Monitoring
The week 20 Pneumonia and
Influenza (P&I) deaths for El
Paso, Texas set another weekly record. The 10 deaths raised
the total for the past 7 weeks to 93. Thus, in the past 7 weeks, record
levels were reported for weeks 14, 15, 18, 19, and 20. Thus, even
though week 20 marks the official end of the 2010/2011 flu season for
the northern hemisphere, deaths in El Paso remain at double digit
levels. The P&I death rate for these seven weeks continues at a
rate that is above 12%, which is more than 1.5 times the national
epidemic threshold for the period.
The number of lab confirmed H1N1 cases in the US has been declining steadily, consistent with the seasonal nature of influenza. However, the high number of deaths in El Paso supports the emergence of a new H1N1 sub-clade, as seen across the border in Chihuahua, Mexico, which caused WHO to issue a 2011 pandemic alert.
The record number of P&I deaths in El Paso has not been addressed by local or national agencies.