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Poultry Deaths in Central Russia Raise H5N1 Wild Bird Flu Concerns
October 18, 2005
As Deputy Head Of Tula Region Agriculture Department Tatyana Subbocheva told the REGNUM correspondent, the number of dead poultry up to 08:00 p.m., October 17, was 247 birds. Supposedly, they were infected by the virus from wild ducks that have settled in the local pounds.
The associate if the dead poultry with wild ducks suggests that the birds will be H5N1 positive. The recent mission report of H5N1 in Russia clearly indicated that H5N1 was widespread and readily detected many wild bird species. H5 was PCR detected in Kalmikya, indicating that the migration had extended H5N1 into the Caspian Sea region of Europe 3 months ago. Moreover, the dead swans in Romania suggested that H5N1 was in the Black Sea are 3 months ago also.
The mission report also indicated that the spread of H5N1 by wild birds very possible for both the southern areas of Europe, which has been confirmed in Romania and Turkey and is likely to have already been detected in neighboring countries, but H5N1 spread into western Europe was also possible.
The report above of dying poultry in the Tula Region strongly suggest that H5N1 will be in western Europe this fall and will spread through most on the countries in Europe.
At this point, there major questions is who will file the mandatory OIE reports, and when will the reports be filed.