Recombinomics | Elegant Evolution

Home Founder What's New In The News Contact Us

Paradigm Shift

Viral Evolution

Intervention Monitoring

Vaccine Screening

Vaccine Development

Expression Profiling

Drug Discovery

Custom Therapies


H5N1 Fatalities

Recombinomics Commentary
November 29, 2004

>>"The most conservative estimate is that seven to 10 million people would die, but the maximum range will be more -- 50 million or even in the worst case 100 million people," Omi said in his starkest warning yet of the potential peril from a mutation of avian flu to a form that may be transmitted by humans.<<

It looks like WHO is doing the math.  If 1-2 billion people are infected with a virus that has a 70% fatality rate, then the number dead would be closer to 1 billion than 2-7 million.  The estimate above is more consistent with the H5N1 case fatality rates in Thailand and Vietnam.

Media link


Home | Founder | What's New | In The News | Contact Us

© 2004 Recombinomics.  All rights reserved.