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US Week 3 Pneumonia & Influenza Death Rate Spikes to 9.8%
Recombinomics Commentary 16:30
January 24, 2013

2003 P&I Peak

Tomorrow’s week 3 CDC FluView will cite a Pneumonia and Influenza (P&I) death date of 9.8% due to 1373 P&I deaths (out of 13,973 deaths in the largest 122 cities in the United States).  As seen in the above P&I graph for the period between 2002-2006, the 9.8% is the highest since late 2003 when the rate briefly topped 10%.

In week 2 of this season the rate rose to 8.3% from 7.3% in week 1, raising concerns that week 4 will have a rate higher than seen in the above graph.

The 2003-04 season was due to the emergence of an H3N2 strain (Fujian/411/2002) which produced a large number of deaths in those over 65, as well as a high number of pediatric deaths.  The high death rate in children led to the requirement in the US for reporting of lab confirmed pediatric deaths.  Tomorrow’s FluView will cite 8 more deaths to bring the official total to 37 (above the 34 deaths in the entire 2011-12 season).  However, additional cases not in the week 3 total indicate over 50 pediatric deaths have been reported this season.

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